How do bookmakers determine the favorite?
- A tennis match involves two athletes. Bookmakers closely study both and come to a conclusion, which of them has a higher probability of victory. Such an athlete is considered to be the favorite.
You can determine the favorite by looking at the line. The athlete whose odds are lower is the favorite. If the odds are less than 1.2, then this is the clear favorite, the defeat of which will be a big sensation.
How does the tennis strategy work?
The specificity of tennis is that in this sport sensations do not happen as often as in soccer or hockey. As a rule, the favorites justify their status. That’s why many players prefer to bet on favorites all the time.
Tips for using the favorite betting strategy
Constant betting Parimatch on the favorite is not a bad strategy that should provide the player with a regular plus. But experts highlight a few nuances:
- It makes little sense to regularly bet on tennis players’ wins at odds of 1.1 – 1.3. Yes, as a rule, they win, but it does not lead to big winnings – the bookie’s “output” is minimal. It turns out that the first defeat (and there will be one anyway) will nullify all efforts.
- It is best to bet on favorites with odds of 1.4 – 1.7. First, the probability of their victory is also quite high, and second, the victory of such a player promises more serious winnings.
- It is worth less to mess with favorites, whose odds of winning are set around 2.0. Obviously, this is too big a risk and the bookies themselves have serious doubts about the victory of this athlete.
- You should not blindly on tennis bets on the basis of just one line – you should always at least minimally familiarize yourself with the current form of athletes, their tournament path, the opinion of analysts, study tennis forecasts. It is possible that bookmakers are missing something and the victory of their favorite is actually not so obvious.
Tennis betting strategy against the favorite
Some players use a more extreme strategy and regularly bet against the favorite. This too makes sense: as noted above, sooner or later even the most outstanding athletes lose. If a player regularly bets on the outsider’s victory at high odds, he will naturally lose for a while, but sooner or later he will catch the sensation he is looking for and be able to win a sum that will cover all his previous expenses.
Betting against a favorite has two varieties
- Betting against clear favorites (at odds of 1.1 – 1.2). Here you need to have a good bank and patience because the losing streak can be very long.
- A more popular option is to bet against favorites, whose odds are set around 1.5. The winnings will be less tangible, but the victories will be more frequent.
What is a break in tennis?
- Format of a tennis match. In each game, only one tennis player serves, while the other receives the service. In the next game, the service goes to the other player.
- Break point in tennis. This is the point at which the receiving player has 1 point left to win a game. This situation occurs when the score is 40-0, 40-15, 40-30, as well as when playing for more or less (when the receiving player has “more”).
- Break in tennis. If a tennis player wins a break point, and therefore the game, this situation is called a break. A break is the winning of a game on someone else’s serve.
The essence of the strategy
Even if the server is the clear favorite (which they give odds between 1.3 and 1.5 to win), the score to break is relatively high: 2.0 to 2.5. When the favorite serves, odds on the break in the game at least 3.0.
In men’s tennis, top-50 players take their serve 80% of the time. It is therefore not a good idea to catch breaks in the game of strong tennis bets players. Breaks happen more often in women’s tennis, and the odds are lower.
Grass surfaces give fast and low bounce, which causes difficulties in receiving. Therefore, it is desirable to exclude grass matches when tennis betting on breaks. Grass or carpet are ideal for this strategy, as they are the slowest surfaces and give the receiver an advantage.
If possible, at least one player should have a lower than average, i.e. below 70%, on his serve win percentage.
- Reverse Break. Statistically, when an opposing team has trouble taking a game on someone else’s serve in a tie game, there is a high probability of a comeback break in the next game.
- Stubborn Underdog. If the underdog is desperately resisting the favorite, taking his serve over and over again, a good option would be to bet on a break from the underdog. Situations where favorites underestimate weak opponents are frequent.
The main strategy when tennis betting breaks will be Martingale. And the high odds on breaks allow not to double the size of the bet, but to increase it smoothly.
Dangers in live break betting
- The bookmaker Parimatch has suspended accepting bets. Sometimes the bookmaker Parimatch stops accepting bets for the next game. At the stage of strategy testing, it is important to find a bookmaker who does not practice frequent freezing of tennis matches in live.
- Low odds on clear favorites. If you want to play on breaks from favorites, which give odds of 1.1 – 1.2, it is worth remembering that the coefficients for breaks in such matches are also low. And this will greatly reduce the number of steps to catch up.
- Psychological instability. Already at the 5th or 6th step of the catch-up, it is psychologically difficult to risk an impressive amount. As a result, you can refuse the winning bet.
- The risk of losing the bank. Just one match without breaks will lead to the loss of the bank.
The break betting Parimatch strategy has proven its worth in hundreds of matches, but any catch-up strategy involves a high risk.